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Published on: February 12, 2013
El costo de la defensa de misiles balísticos láser basados en el espacio
Resumen
La relación de intercambio de costos para los sistemas de defensa de misiles balísticos con láser infrarrojo en órbita es probablemente mayor que 1. Esto sugiere que el despliegue de misiles más ofensivos puede ser más rentable que desarrollar este sistema de defensa estratégica.
Área de la Ciencia:
- Ingeniería Aeroespacial Ingeniería Aeroespacial.
- Tecnología de Defensa Tecnología de Defensa.
- Estudios Estratégicos Estudios Estratégicos
Sus antecedentes:
- La Iniciativa de Defensa Estratégica propuso plataformas láser infrarrojas en órbita como un sistema de defensa de misiles balísticos.
- Contrarrestar dicho sistema puede implicar aumentar el número de misiles ofensivos.
Objetivo del estudio:
- Examinar los métodos para calcular la relación de intercambio de costos de los sistemas de defensa de misiles balísticos propuestos.
- Evaluar la viabilidad económica de los sistemas de defensa láser infrarrojo en órbita contra misiles balísticos intercontinentales.
Principales métodos:
- Cálculo de la relación costo-intercambio: costo de defensa por misil destruido frente al costo de ataque por misil desplegado.
- Analizando un escenario con una defensa láser infrarrojo en órbita contra lanzamientos simultáneos de misiles balísticos intercontinentales.
- Estimando los límites inferiores para los costos de defensa y los límites superiores para los costos de ataque.
Principales resultados:
- Se encontró que la relación de intercambio de costos para un sistema de defensa de misiles balísticos de láser infrarrojo en órbita era sustancialmente mayor que 1.
- Esto indica que el costo de desplegar contramedidas (misiles ofensivos) es menor que el costo del sistema de defensa.
Conclusiones:
- El sistema de defensa de misiles balísticos analizado puede no cumplir con los requisitos de efectividad si su costo excede el de la proliferación de misiles.
- La metodología para calcular la relación costo-intercambio se puede aplicar a varios sistemas de defensa estratégica propuestos.
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