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Disolviendo mitos sobre la verificación de misiles de crucero lanzados desde el mar
Science (New York, N.Y.)
|November 10, 1989
Resumen
Verificar los límites de los misiles de crucero lanzados desde el mar con armas nucleares es un desafío, pero factible. Este estudio propone una prohibición total y describe un esquema de verificación eficaz para el control de armas nucleares.
Área de la Ciencia:
- Las relaciones internacionales Las relaciones internacionales.
- El control de armas es el control de armas.
- No proliferación de las armas nucleares.
Sus antecedentes:
- Los misiles de crucero lanzados desde el mar (SLCM) plantean desafíos de verificación para el control de armas debido a su tamaño y naturaleza de doble uso.
- Distinguir los SLCM con armas nucleares de los convencionales es difícil, lo que dificulta los métodos tradicionales de verificación.
- Las creencias existentes sugieren que limitar los SLCM con armas nucleares es casi imposible de verificar.
Objetivo del estudio:
- Desafiar la suposición de que los SLCM con armas nucleares no son verificables.
- Proponer una medida específica de control de armas: una prohibición total de los SLCM con armas nucleares.
- Para demostrar la viabilidad de un esquema de verificación eficaz para tal prohibición.
Principales métodos:
- Análisis de los desafíos en la verificación de misiles de crucero lanzados desde el mar con armas nucleares.
- Desarrollo de una propuesta específica de control de armas: una prohibición total.
- Conceptualización de un esquema de verificación adaptado a una prohibición completa.
Principales resultados:
- La producción encubierta y el despliegue de SLCM con armas nucleares no son tan sencillos como se cree comúnmente.
- Una prohibición total de los SLCM con armas nucleares presenta una opción viable para el control de armas.
- Se puede construir un esquema de verificación eficaz para prohibir los SLCM con armas nucleares.
Conclusiones:
- La verificación de misiles de crucero lanzados desde el mar con armas nucleares es posible a través de enfoques innovadores de control de armas.
- Una prohibición total ofrece una vía práctica para mejorar la seguridad nuclear y la no proliferación.
- Un mayor desarrollo de los mecanismos de verificación es crucial para el éxito de los acuerdos de control de armas.
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