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Creep tecnológico y la carrera armamentista: los ICBM son un problema latente.
Resumen
Los avances tecnológicos en la carrera armamentista están creando capacidades desestabilizadoras de primer ataque. Las medidas actuales de control de armas no abordan adecuadamente estos problemas apremiantes, lo que pone en riesgo un retorno a las capacidades de misiles antibalísticos.
Área de la Ciencia:
- Las relaciones internacionales Las relaciones internacionales.
- Tecnología militar tecnología militar.
- La política de control de armas es una política de control de armas.
Sus antecedentes:
- La carrera armamentista está significativamente influenciada por los avances tecnológicos.
- La modernización de los misiles balísticos intercontinentales (ICBM) presenta un ejemplo contemporáneo crítico.
- Los marcos de control de armas existentes luchan por mantenerse al día con el rápido cambio tecnológico.
Objetivo del estudio:
- Analizar el impacto del avance tecnológico en la carrera armamentista mundial.
- Examinar los efectos desestabilizadores de la modernización de los ICBM.
- Evaluar la adecuación del actual control de armas para hacer frente a los desafíos tecnológicos.
Principales métodos:
- Revisión de las tendencias tecnológicas actuales en aplicaciones militares.
- Análisis de las implicaciones estratégicas de la modernización de los ICBM.
- Estudios de caso de la investigación de defensa antisatélite y de misiles balísticos.
Principales resultados:
- La modernización de los ICBM está confiriendo una capacidad de primer ataque desestabilizadora.
- Los esfuerzos de control de armas parecen insuficientes para manejar esta amenaza en evolución.
- La investigación en defensa antisatélite y de misiles balísticos hace avanzar el potencial de las capacidades de misiles antibalísticos.
Conclusiones:
- Las mejoras tecnológicas incrementales representan una amenaza significativa para el control de armas.
- La comunidad internacional debe adaptar las estrategias de control de armas al progreso tecnológico.
- Existe una necesidad urgente de abordar la erosión de la intención del tratado de 1972 con respecto a los misiles antibalísticos.
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