Video Experimental Relacionado
Updated: May 15, 2026

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Continuous Theta Burst Stimulation of the Posterior Medial Frontal Cortex to Experimentally Reduce Ideological Threat Responses
Published on: September 28, 2018
El fin de la historia ilusión de la ilusión
Jordi Quoidbach1, Daniel T Gilbert, Timothy D Wilson
1National Fund for Scientific Research, Brussels, Belgium.
Resumen
Las personas sobreestiman el cambio personal pasado y subestiman el cambio futuro, creyendo que han alcanzado un yo estable. Esta "ilusión del fin de la historia" afecta la toma de decisiones con respecto a las preferencias futuras.
Área de la Ciencia:
- Psicología Psicología Psicología.
- La economía del comportamiento es la economía del comportamiento.
- Sociología Sociología Sociología.
Sus antecedentes:
- La identidad personal y las preferencias a menudo se perciben como estables a lo largo del tiempo.
- Comprender la percepción del cambio personal es crucial para el análisis del comportamiento.
Objetivo del estudio:
- Investigar cómo los individuos perciben su pasado y futuros cambios personales.
- Para examinar el fenómeno psicológico conocido como la "ilusión del fin de la historia".
Principales métodos:
- Se encuestó a más de 19.000 personas de entre 18 y 68 años.
- Evaluó los cambios autoinformados en la personalidad, los valores y las preferencias en la última década.
- Recopilación de predicciones de los cambios esperados en la próxima década.
Principales resultados:
- Todos los grupos de edad (jóvenes, de mediana edad, mayores) informaron cambios significativos en el pasado.
- Todos los grupos de edad predijeron un cambio futuro mínimo.
- Los individuos perciben el presente como un punto final estable del desarrollo personal.
Conclusiones:
- La "ilusión del fin de la historia" lleva a las personas a creer que han alcanzado un yo final y estable.
- Esta percepción tiene implicaciones prácticas, influyendo en las decisiones financieras y la planificación futura.
- El pago excesivo por oportunidades futuras que satisfacen las preferencias actuales es una consecuencia de esta ilusión.
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