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Las realidades del análisis riesgo-coste-beneficio
1Department of Engineering and Public Policy, Department of Social and Decision Sciences, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213, USA.
Science (New York, N.Y.)
|October 31, 2015
Resumen
Comprender los límites del análisis formal es clave para una toma de decisiones eficaz. El reconocimiento de los juicios éticos y científicos en el análisis mejora los resultados de las políticas a través de la colaboración.
Área de la Ciencia:
- Ciencia de la decisión
- Análisis de las políticas
- Metodología científica
Sus antecedentes:
- El análisis formal se utiliza cada vez más en las decisiones políticas.
- La subjetividad inherente al análisis, derivada de juicios éticos y científicos, afecta su utilidad.
- La conciencia de estos elementos subjetivos y los métodos para gestionarlos han crecido.
Objetivo del estudio:
- Revisar los desarrollos en la comprensión y gestión de la subjetividad en el análisis formal.
- Para ilustrar los desafíos en el diseño, ejecución e interpretación de análisis.
- Identificar las lecciones aprendidas de la ciencia y la práctica del análisis.
Principales métodos:
- Revisión de la evolución del análisis formal.
- Ejemplos ilustrativos de diseño, ejecución e interpretación del análisis.
- Síntesis de las lecciones aprendidas de las aplicaciones científicas y prácticas.
Principales resultados:
- Los análisis formales son valiosos cuando se comprenden sus limitaciones inherentes, que surgen de juicios éticos y científicos.
- Los métodos para hacer frente a estos juicios han avanzado.
- Los procesos de colaboración entre analistas y tomadores de decisiones son cruciales.
Conclusiones:
- El uso efectivo del análisis formal requiere el reconocimiento y la gestión de la subjetividad ética y científica.
- La colaboración mejora la comprensión mutua de las necesidades y capacidades entre los analistas y los responsables de la toma de decisiones.
- Las lecciones aprendidas hacen hincapié en la importancia de los enfoques interdisciplinarios y colaborativos en el análisis.
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