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Reestructurar el retiro estratégico y gestionado para la adaptación climática transformadora

Katharine J Mach1,2, A R Siders3,4

  • 1Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science, University of Miami, Miami, FL, USA. kmach@rsmas.miami.edu.

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|June 18, 2021
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Resumen

Las sociedades deben planificar estratégicamente el retiro administrado para navegar la adaptación al cambio climático. Este enfoque redefine el retroceso, considerando los valores sociales y los futuros potenciales durante la transformación.

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Área de la Ciencia:

  • Ciencia de la adaptación
  • La transformación de la sociedad
  • Resiliencia al cambio climático

Sus antecedentes:

  • Las sociedades humanas se enfrentan a una transformación significativa debido al cambio climático y otros factores estresantes.
  • Las elecciones sociales en la transformación se guían por valores priorizados.
  • El retiro administrado ofrece un marco para explorar diversas posibilidades futuras y articular valores.

Objetivo del estudio:

  • Desarrollar una hoja de ruta para una retirada estratégica y gestionada.
  • Para reconceptualizar el significado de la retirada estratégica y gestionada.
  • Integrar la investigación sobre el retiro, la adaptación transformacional, los daños climáticos y el apoyo a la toma de decisiones.

Principales métodos:

  • Integración de la investigación de múltiples ámbitos: retiro, adaptación transformacional, daños y pérdidas climáticas y apoyo al diseño y la toma de decisiones.
  • Análisis de las tensiones inherentes a la retirada en relación con las pérdidas inaceptables y el mantenimiento/alteración social.
  • Desarrollo de una hoja de ruta basada en la reconceptualización de la retirada estratégica y gestionada.

Principales resultados:

  • Se ha trazado una hoja de ruta para una retirada estratégica y gestionada.
  • El estudio requiere una reconceptualización fundamental de lo que constituye una retirada estratégica y gestionada.
  • La consideración de la retirada pone de relieve las tensiones con respecto a las pérdidas aceptables y la continuidad social.

Conclusiones:

  • El retiro gestionado es una herramienta fundamental para ampliar las posibilidades futuras y articular los valores sociales durante la adaptación al cambio climático.
  • La implementación estratégica de la retirada gestionada requiere una comprensión redefinida de su gestión y componentes estratégicos.
  • Las ideas derivadas del estudio del retiro administrado tienen amplias implicaciones para la ciencia de la adaptación y la planificación social más allá del alcance inmediato del retiro.