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Reestructurar el retiro estratégico y gestionado para la adaptación climática transformadora

Katharine J Mach^1,2, A R Siders^3,4

¹Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science, University of Miami, Miami, FL, USA. kmach@rsmas.miami.edu.

Science (New York, N.Y.)

|June 18, 2021

Resumen

Las sociedades deben planificar estratégicamente el retiro administrado para navegar la adaptación al cambio climático. Este enfoque redefine el retroceso, considerando los valores sociales y los futuros potenciales durante la transformación.

Área de la Ciencia:

Ciencia de la adaptación
La transformación de la sociedad
Resiliencia al cambio climático

Sus antecedentes:

Las sociedades humanas se enfrentan a una transformación significativa debido al cambio climático y otros factores estresantes.
Las elecciones sociales en la transformación se guían por valores priorizados.
El retiro administrado ofrece un marco para explorar diversas posibilidades futuras y articular valores.

Objetivo del estudio:

Desarrollar una hoja de ruta para una retirada estratégica y gestionada.
Para reconceptualizar el significado de la retirada estratégica y gestionada.
Integrar la investigación sobre el retiro, la adaptación transformacional, los daños climáticos y el apoyo a la toma de decisiones.

Principales métodos:

Integración de la investigación de múltiples ámbitos: retiro, adaptación transformacional, daños y pérdidas climáticas y apoyo al diseño y la toma de decisiones.
Análisis de las tensiones inherentes a la retirada en relación con las pérdidas inaceptables y el mantenimiento/alteración social.
Desarrollo de una hoja de ruta basada en la reconceptualización de la retirada estratégica y gestionada.

Principales resultados:

Se ha trazado una hoja de ruta para una retirada estratégica y gestionada.
El estudio requiere una reconceptualización fundamental de lo que constituye una retirada estratégica y gestionada.
La consideración de la retirada pone de relieve las tensiones con respecto a las pérdidas aceptables y la continuidad social.

Conclusiones:

El retiro gestionado es una herramienta fundamental para ampliar las posibilidades futuras y articular los valores sociales durante la adaptación al cambio climático.
La implementación estratégica de la retirada gestionada requiere una comprensión redefinida de su gestión y componentes estratégicos.
Las ideas derivadas del estudio del retiro administrado tienen amplias implicaciones para la ciencia de la adaptación y la planificación social más allá del alcance inmediato del retiro.

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