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Variabilidad climática decenal en el Pacífico tropical: características, causas, previsibilidad y perspectivas

Scott Power^1,2,3, Matthieu Lengaigne⁴, Antonietta Capotondi^5,6

¹Centre for Applied Climate Sciences, University of Southern Queensland, Toowoomba, QLD, Australia.

Science (New York, N.Y.)

|September 30, 2021

Resumen

La variabilidad decenal del Pacífico tropical (TPDV) influye significativamente en los patrones climáticos globales. La comprensión del TPDV es crucial para predecir los cambios climáticos en escalas de tiempo de varios años a varias décadas.

Área de la Ciencia:

Ciencias del clima
La oceanografía
Ciencias atmosféricas

Sus antecedentes:

El Pacífico tropical es un factor clave de la variabilidad climática mundial.
El Niño Oscilación del Sur (ENSO) representa la variabilidad climática interanual en esta región.
La variabilidad decenal del Pacífico tropical (TPDV) tiene un impacto significativo en el sistema climático en escalas de tiempo más largas.

Objetivo del estudio:

Definir y caracterizar la variabilidad decenal del Pacífico tropical (TPDV).
Explorar el amplio alcance de la TPDV, que abarca cambios de varios años a varias décadas.
Proporcionar un marco unificado para comprender la dinámica climática decenal en el Pacífico tropical.

Principales métodos:

Análisis de datos climáticos a través de la atmósfera, el océano y la tierra en el Pacífico tropical.
Caracterización de las variaciones decenales en el estado medio.
Investigación de los cambios decenales forzados externamente.
Examen de las variaciones decenales en los modos de alta frecuencia como ENSO.

Principales resultados:

El TPDV abarca una amplia gama de variaciones y cambios climáticos decenales.
Esta variabilidad afecta a los sistemas atmosféricos, oceánicos y terrestres dentro del Pacífico tropical.
TPDV incluye cambios en el estado medio y alteraciones en el comportamiento de ENSO.

Conclusiones:

El TPDV es un componente crítico del sistema climático de la Tierra.
Una comprensión completa de la TPDV es esencial para la predicción del clima global.
Una mayor investigación sobre el TPDV mejorará los modelos y las previsiones climáticas.

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