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Mortalidad por COVID en la India: datos de la encuesta nacional y muertes en instalaciones de salud

Prabhat Jha¹, Yashwant Deshmukh², Chinmay Tumbe³

¹Centre for Global Health Research, Unity Health Toronto and Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.

Science (New York, N.Y.)

|January 6, 2022

Resumen

La India

Área de la Ciencia:

Epidemiología
Salud pública
Modelado de enfermedades infecciosas

Sus antecedentes:

El recuento oficial de muertes por COVID-19 en la India es incierto.
Los datos precisos de mortalidad son cruciales para comprender el impacto de la pandemia.

Objetivo del estudio:

Para estimar el exceso de mortalidad atribuido al COVID-19 en la India.
Para comparar las estimaciones basadas en encuestas con los datos del gobierno.

Principales métodos:

Se realizó una encuesta representativa a nivel nacional entre 0,14 millones de adultos.
La mortalidad por COVID-19 se comparó con la mortalidad esperada por todas las causas.
Se analizaron los datos de las instalaciones de salud gubernamentales y el registro civil.

Principales resultados:

El COVID-19 representó el 29% de las muertes entre junio de 2020 y julio de 2021, con un total de 3,2 millones.
El exceso de mortalidad por cualquier causa fue un 27% más alto en las instalaciones de salud y un 26% en los registros civiles.
Las muertes estimadas por COVID-19 fueron 6-7 veces más altas que las reportadas oficialmente en septiembre de 2021.

Conclusiones:

El número real de muertes por COVID-19 en la India está significativamente subestimado.
Las encuestas independientes y los datos gubernamentales indican un exceso sustancial de mortalidad.
Necesidad urgente de mejorar la vigilancia y notificación de mortalidad en la India.

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