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La realización de las promesas del Acuerdo de París puede limitar el calentamiento a poco menos de 2 °C
Malte Meinshausen1,2, Jared Lewis3,4, Christophe McGlade5
1Climate & Energy College, School of Geography, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia. malte.meinshausen@unimelb.edu.au.
Nature
|April 14, 2022
Resumen
Las promesas climáticas mundiales, si se implementan plenamente, podrían limitar el calentamiento a poco menos de 2°C. Sin embargo, el logro de
Área de la Ciencia:
- Ciencia del clima y análisis de políticas
- Modelado del sistema de la Tierra
- Estrategias de mitigación del cambio climático
Sus antecedentes:
- Se ha observado un progreso significativo en los objetivos nacionales de mitigación del cambio climático y los compromisos a largo plazo entre 154 y 76 Partes, respectivamente, antes del Pacto Climático de Glasgow.
- Las evaluaciones anteriores indicaron una probabilidad inferior al 50% de limitar el calentamiento global por debajo de 2 °C en función de las promesas hechas antes de la Conferencia de las Naciones Unidas sobre el Cambio Climático (COP26) de 2021.
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