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Evitar la extinción masiva de los océanos por el calentamiento climático

Justin L Penn1,2, Curtis Deutsch1,2

  • 1School of Oceanography, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195, USA.

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|April 28, 2022
PubMed
Resumen
Este resumen es generado por máquina.

El calentamiento global plantea un grave riesgo de extinción para la vida marina. La reducción de las emisiones de gases de efecto invernadero puede reducir significativamente estos riesgos, preservando la biodiversidad marina.

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Área de la Ciencia:

  • Biología marina
  • Ciencias del clima
  • Paleontología

Sus antecedentes:

  • El calentamiento global representa una amenaza significativa para los ecosistemas marinos y la biodiversidad.
  • El alcance total de los riesgos de extinción de las especies marinas en diversos escenarios climáticos sigue sin cuantificarse en gran medida.

Objetivo del estudio:

  • Cuantificar los riesgos de extinción global y local para las especies de animales marinos en diferentes futuros climáticos.
  • Evaluar el impacto potencial del cambio climático en la biodiversidad marina y compararlo con los impactos humanos.

Principales métodos:

  • Utilizó límites ecofisiológicos de diversas especies animales para modelar los riesgos de extinción.
  • Modelos calibrados con el registro fósil para validar las proyecciones.
  • Análisis de los riesgos de extinción en un espectro de futuros climáticos.

Principales resultados:

  • La aceleración de las emisiones de gases de efecto invernadero podría conducir a pérdidas de especies comparables a los impactos humanos en un siglo.
  • Las pérdidas de especies marinas por el calentamiento y el agotamiento del oxígeno por sí solas arriesgan un evento de extinción masiva.
  • Las especies polares se enfrentan al mayor riesgo de extinción, mientras que las regiones tropicales experimentan mayores disminuciones en la biodiversidad local.

Conclusiones:

  • La reducción urgente de las emisiones de gases de efecto invernadero es fundamental para mitigar la extinción de las especies marinas.
  • La inversión de las tendencias de las emisiones podría reducir los riesgos de extinción en más del 70%.
  • La preservación de la biodiversidad marina acumulada durante millones de años se puede lograr a través de la acción climática.