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Evaluación de las políticas y análisis causal del apoyo público

Stefano Carattini¹, Robert Dur², John List³

¹Department of Economics, Georgia State University, Atlanta, GA, USA.

Science (New York, N.Y.)

|October 31, 2024

Resumen

El apoyo público a las políticas puede aumentar con el tiempo, incluso si inicialmente no son populares. Esta investigación explora la dinámica de la aceptación de las políticas y los cambios en la opinión pública.

Área de la Ciencia:

Ciencias sociales
Ciencias políticas
Análisis de las políticas públicas

Sus antecedentes:

Las políticas a menudo se enfrentan a la oposición pública inicial.
Comprender la evolución del apoyo público es crucial para el éxito de las políticas.

Objetivo del estudio:

Investigar la dinámica temporal del apoyo público a las políticas.
Identificar los factores que influyen en el crecimiento del apoyo a políticas inicialmente impopulares.

Principales métodos:

Análisis longitudinal de los datos de opinión pública.
Modelado estadístico de la adopción de políticas y de la opinión pública.

Principales resultados:

La evidencia sugiere una tendencia a aumentar el apoyo a ciertas políticas con el tiempo.
La impopularidad inicial no impide una eventual aceptación generalizada.

Conclusiones:

La aplicación de las políticas puede dar lugar a cambios en la percepción pública.
La viabilidad a largo plazo de las políticas puede subestimarse debido a las reacciones iniciales.

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