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Riesgo del mercado de alquiler y apoyo de la derecha radical
Tarik Abou-Chadi1, Denis Cohen2, Thomas Kurer3
1University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Comparative political studies
|September 4, 2025
Resumen
El aumento de los alquileres en las áreas urbanas aumenta el apoyo a los partidos de derecha radical entre los residentes de bajos ingresos y de larga duración. Esto pone de relieve el desarrollo urbano como un factor clave de la inseguridad económica y los cambios políticos.
Área de la Ciencia:
- Ciencias políticas
- Estudios urbanos
- Las economías
Sus antecedentes:
- La investigación existente vincula la amenaza económica con el apoyo a los partidos anti-establishment, principalmente a través de los cambios en el mercado laboral.
- El desarrollo urbano y el aumento de las rentas son fuentes poco estudiadas de ansiedad económica.
Objetivo del estudio:
- Investigar el impacto del desarrollo urbano y la apreciación del precio del alquiler en la afiliación política.
- Identificar si el aumento de las rentas influye en el apoyo a los partidos anti-establishment.
Principales métodos:
- Se utilizaron datos de panel georreferenciados a nivel individual.
- Datos longitudinales incorporados sobre los costos de alquiler de viviendas a nivel de código postal.
- El análisis se centró en Alemania, un país con una alta prevalencia de viviendas de alquiler.
Principales resultados:
- Demostró que el aumento de los niveles de alquiler local se correlaciona con un mayor apoyo a los partidos de derecha radical.
- Identificó este efecto más fuertemente entre los residentes a largo plazo con ingresos familiares más bajos.
- Observó una concentración particular de esta tendencia en las zonas urbanas.
Conclusiones:
- El desarrollo urbano y los aumentos de alquiler asociados son factores significativos, previamente pasados por alto, que impulsan la inseguridad económica.
- Estos factores tienen implicaciones notables para los paisajes políticos y el apoyo a los partidos.
- Los resultados sugieren la necesidad de ampliar el alcance de los factores económicos considerados en la investigación de ciencias políticas.
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