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Seguimiento del progreso hacia el Objetivo de Desarrollo Sostenible 3.2 en Kenia utilizando modelos de series
Welcome Jabulani Dlamini1,2, Sileshi Fanta Melesse2, Henry Godwell Mwambi2
1Focus Area for Pure and Applied Analytics, North-West University, Private Bag X6001, Potchefstroom, North-West, South Africa Dlaminwel@gmail.com.
BMJ global health
|December 19, 2025
Resumen
Kenia
Sus antecedentes:
- El Objetivo de Desarrollo Sostenible (ODS) 3.2 tiene como objetivo reducir la tasa de mortalidad de menores de cinco años (TMI) a menos de 25 muertes por cada 1000 nacidos vivos para 2030.
- África Subsahariana enfrenta desafíos en la supervivencia infantil, con altas TMI y progreso estancado.
- Las tendencias de la TMI en Kenia son críticas para evaluar las estrategias de supervivencia infantil.
Conclusiones:
- La TMI de Kenia ha disminuido significativamente, pero es poco probable que se alcance el objetivo del ODS 3.2 para 2030 sin intervenciones mejoradas.
- Acelerar el progreso requiere mejoras en los servicios de salud materna e infantil, intervenciones comunitarias y abordar los determinantes sociales.
- El monitoreo y la predicción futuros de la mortalidad infantil pueden mejorarse con datos de mayor calidad y técnicas de modelado avanzadas.
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