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Reevaluación del punto de corte de 8 cm: El riesgo continuo de mortalidad por tamaño tumoral apoya la estadificación
Ezekiel Dingle1, Kole Joachim1, Othneil Sparks1
1David Geffen School of Medicine at the University of California, Los Angeles, California, USA.
Background And Objectives:
Primary tumor size is a key prognostic factor in osteosarcoma, but quantitative risk estimates and optimal thresholds remain undefined. We quantified the size-survival relationship in high-grade osteosarcoma.
Methods:
We analyzed 1,807 high-grade osteosarcoma patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database (2000-2021) using Cox regression, systematic threshold testing (40-150 mm with multiple testing corrections), and propensity score matching at the AJCC 80 mm threshold.
Results:
Each 10 mm increase in tumor size was associated with a 6.6% increased hazard of death after adjusting for age, sex, tumor site, surgery, radiation, and chemotherapy (Hazard ratio [HR] = 1.066, p < 0.001; adjusted C-index = 0.694). Binary AJCC staging demonstrated limited mortality discrimination (34.4% vs 44.4%, 10-percentage-point spread), while three-tier soft tissue sarcoma (STS)-adapted staging revealed a 21-percentage-point mortality gradient (26.6% to 47.7%) with superior adjusted discrimination (C-index = 0.695 vs 0.680, p < 0.001). All tested thresholds demonstrated significant associations, with no single optimal cutpoint identified. Polynomial testing indicated a linear relationship (p = 0.334). Propensity score matching at the AJCC 8 cm threshold of 666 patient pairs confirmed the effect (HR = 1.443, 95%-confidence interval: 1.214-1.715, p < 0.001). Polynomial testing indicated a linear relationship (p = 0.253).
Conclusion:
Tumor size demonstrates a continuous dose-response relationship with survival. Three-tier STS staging outperforms binary AJCC classification for risk stratification.
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