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La ciencia del riesgo en la práctica: un marco para medir los principios de riesgo en el discurso específico de un

Shital Thekdi¹, Terje Aven²

¹Shital Thekdi department: Robins School of Business, University of Richmond, Richmond, Virginia, USA.

Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis

|February 9, 2026

Resumen

Este estudio introduce un marco para evaluar qué tan bien las discusiones de riesgo fuera del estudio se alinean con los principios de la ciencia del riesgo. Identifica las brechas y oportunidades para mejorar la coherencia de la comunicación de riesgos en todos los dominios.

Área de la Ciencia:

Análisis de riesgos y comunicación.
Evaluación del riesgo interdisciplinario.
Análisis del discurso de riesgo específico del dominio Análisis del discurso de riesgo específico del dominio

Sus antecedentes:

La ciencia del riesgo apunta a la generalizabilidad y la especificidad de dominio, pero la alineación varía en las comunicaciones de las partes interesadas.
Es posible que los materiales que informan a los responsables políticos, inversores y reguladores no se adhieran completamente a los principios de la ciencia del riesgo.
Asegurar el intercambio de información de riesgo consistente y precisa es crucial en diversos campos.

Objetivo del estudio:

Presentar un marco para evaluar el concepto de riesgo y la alineación de los criterios de calidad en las discusiones de riesgo específicas del dominio.
Identificar las discrepancias entre los principios generales de la ciencia del riesgo y su aplicación en estudios de riesgo no formales.
Orientar mejoras en el uso de la ciencia del riesgo para un discurso más amplio relacionado con el riesgo.

Principales métodos:

Desarrollo de un marco basado en criterios formales de calidad del estudio de riesgos.
Aplicación de metodologías y tecnologías de análisis de texto para evaluar discusiones de riesgo.
Análisis comparativo de los conceptos de riesgo generalizable dentro de contextos específicos de un dominio.

Principales resultados:

Identificación de áreas donde las discusiones sobre riesgos carecen de suficiente alineación con la ciencia de riesgos establecida.
Identificar oportunidades para mejorar la integración de la ciencia del riesgo en diversos materiales de comunicación.
Principales hallazgos sobre el mapeo de los conceptos de riesgo a las discusiones de riesgo específicas del dominio.

Conclusiones:

El marco facilita una mejor comprensión de la calidad de la comunicación de riesgos.
Las mejoras en la aplicación de la ciencia del riesgo pueden mejorar la consistencia en el discurso del riesgo.
Este trabajo apoya un intercambio de información relacionada con el riesgo más robusto y confiable en todos los sectores.

Palabras clave:

Análisis del riesgo Análisis del riesgo Análisis del riesgo Estudio de calidad del estudio de riesgos.

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