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Ángulo de fase como predictor potencial de riesgo de reingreso no planificado en la UCI en pacientes quirúrgicos
Minseob Kim1,2, Hye Young Woo1,2,3, Christine Kang1
1Department of Critical Care Medicine, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul, South Korea.
Background:
Surgical intensive care unit (ICU) readmission worsens outcomes; however, prediction remains difficult. Phase angle (PhA), a bioimpedance-derived marker of cellular integrity and nutritional status, may add prognostic value beyond routine clinical indices.
Materials And Methods:
We conducted a single-center retrospective cohort of ICU discharge-level observations (510 discharges) from a surgical ICU. PhA was measured by bioelectrical impedance analysis at ICU admission (PhA0) and discharge (PhAdc). The primary analysis used a mixed-effects logistic regression with a patient-level random intercept to account for multiple discharges per patient. Pre-specified cutoffs (PhA0 ≤ 3.75°, PhAdc ≤ 2.55°) were derived by internal receiver operating characteristic/Youden methods and assessed with patient-wise fivefold cross-validation. Sensitivity analyses included stepwise multivariable models, first-discharge-only, cluster-robust standard errors, and a reduced generalized estimating equation.
Results:
Of 510 discharges, 68 (13.3%) were followed by unplanned ICU readmission. Low PhA0 and low PhAdc were associated with readmission in bivariable analyses. In the primary mixed-effects model, low PhA0 independently predicted readmission [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) = 4.00, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.82-8.78; P < 0.001], while low PhAdc showed a positive trend (aOR = 1.80, 0.95-3.42; P = 0.07). Emergency surgery was also independently associated (aOR = 4.57, 2.00-10.40; P < 0.001). Findings were directionally consistent across sensitivity analyses.
Conclusion:
PhA measured at ICU admission and discharge provides an actionable, noninvasive prognostic indicator for surgical ICU readmission.
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