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Global Climate Change01:50

Global Climate Change

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Throughout its ~4.5 billion year history, the Earth has experienced periods of warming and cooling. However, the current drastic increase in global temperatures is well outside of the Earth’s cyclic norms, and evidence for human-caused global climate change is compelling. Paleoclimatology, the study of ancient climate conditions, provides ample evidence for human-caused global climate change by comparing recent conditions with those in the past.
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The Carbon Cycle01:14

The Carbon Cycle

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Carbon is the basis of all organic matter on Earth, and is recycled through the ecosystem in two primary processes: one in which carbon is exchanged among living organisms, and one in which carbon is cycled over long periods of time through fossilized organic remains, weathering of rocks, and volcanic activity. Human activities, including increased agricultural practices and the burning of fossil fuels, has greatly affected the balance of the natural carbon cycle.
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Radiation: Applications01:17

Radiation: Applications

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The average temperature of Earth is the subject of much current discussion. Earth is in radiative contact with both the Sun and dark space; it receives almost all its energy from the radiation of the Sun and reflects some of it into outer space. Dark space is very cold, about 3 K, so Earth radiates energy into it. For instance, heat transfer occurs from soil and grasses, the rate of which can be so rapid that frost can occur on clear summer evenings, even in warm latitudes.
The average...
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Bioremediation00:46

Bioremediation

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Bioremediation is the use of prokaryotes, fungi, or plants to remove pollutants from the environment. This process has been used to remove harmful toxins in groundwater as a byproduct of agricultural run-off and also to clean up oil spills.
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Adaptations that Reduce Water Loss01:57

Adaptations that Reduce Water Loss

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Though evaporation from plant leaves drives transpiration, it also results in loss of water. Because water is critical for photosynthetic reactions and other cellular processes, evolutionary pressures on plants in different environments have driven the acquisition of adaptations that reduce water loss.
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What is Climate?01:16

What is Climate?

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Climate refers to the prevailing weather conditions in a specific area over an extended period. As the saying goes, “Climate is what you expect. Weather is what you get.” Climate is influenced by geographic factors, such as latitude, terrain, and proximity to bodies of water.
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Video Experimental Relacionado

Updated: Feb 28, 2026

Design and Use of a Full Flow Sampling System FFS for the Quantification of Methane Emissions
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Design and Use of a Full Flow Sampling System FFS for the Quantification of Methane Emissions

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Emisiones negativas para mitigar los riesgos del sistema terrestre

Thomas Gasser1, Armon Rezai2,3, Côme Cheritel2,4

  • 1International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria. gasser@iiasa.ac.at.

Nature communications
|February 26, 2026
PubMed
Resumen
Este resumen es generado por máquina.

La incorporación de la incertidumbre en la política climática ex-ante revela nuevas estrategias. Este enfoque requiere emisiones netas de dióxido de carbono anteriores y emisiones netas negativas planificadas para mitigar los riesgos del sistema terrestre a largo plazo.

Palabras clave:
emisiones negativasmitigación del cambio climáticoriesgos del sistema terrestrepolítica climáticaincertidumbre

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Área de la Ciencia:

  • Ciencia del Clima
  • Ciencia del Sistema Terrestre
  • Política Ambiental

Sus antecedentes:

  • Las políticas climáticas actuales a menudo asumen un sistema terrestre determinista, evaluando los impactos de forma retrospectiva.
  • Los enfoques proactivos que integran la incertidumbre para anticipar los riesgos del sistema terrestre están poco desarrollados.

Objetivo del estudio:

  • Desarrollar estrategias climáticas globales utilizando un enfoque ex-ante que incorpore la incertidumbre física.
  • Identificar estrategias climáticas que mitiguen los riesgos del sistema terrestre a través de medidas de precaución.

Principales métodos:

  • Se utilizó un marco de evaluación integrada que combina la fusión bayesiana de modelos del sistema terrestre y datos observacionales.
  • Se estimaron las incertidumbres físicas dentro del sistema terrestre.

Principales resultados:

  • Las estrategias ex-ante exigen que las emisiones netas de dióxido de carbono (CO2) se logren antes, potencialmente una década antes.
  • Los precios del carbono a corto plazo pueden necesitar duplicarse.
  • Se requieren emisiones netas negativas sostenidas para la mitigación de riesgos a largo plazo, distintas de los escenarios de sobrepaso.

Conclusiones:

  • La integración de la incertidumbre ex-ante en el desarrollo de estrategias climáticas ofrece un enfoque más sólido para gestionar los riesgos del sistema terrestre.
  • Esto requiere ajustes significativos en los objetivos de emisión y los instrumentos económicos.
  • Abordar los riesgos a largo plazo requiere un cambio de paradigma en el diseño de la política climática.