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ETS y Riesgos Climáticos Físicos Internacionales

Pengyu Chen1, Zhongzhu Chu2, Yuhao Zhao1

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Resumen
Este resumen es generado por máquina.

El Sistema de Comercio de Emisiones (ETS) reduce eficazmente los riesgos climáticos físicos al promover la mitigación y la adaptación. Su impacto varía según el país y los altos precios del carbono pueden crear desequilibrios en el mercado.

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Sistema de Comercio de Emisiones (ETS)teoría institucionalriesgos climáticos físicosvisión basada en recursos

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Área de la Ciencia:

  • Economía Ambiental; Gobernanza Climática; Desarrollo Sostenible

Sus antecedentes:

  • Los Sistemas de Comercio de Emisiones (ETS) son políticas climáticas basadas en el mercado vinculadas a los Objetivos de Desarrollo Sostenible (ODS).
  • Las críticas keynesianas destacan la inercia de la inversión que dificulta la gestión del riesgo climático.
  • Existe un debate sobre la efectividad del ETS en la gestión de los riesgos climáticos.

Objetivo del estudio:

  • Construir un marco conceptual novedoso que integre la teoría institucional y la visión basada en recursos.
  • Examinar empíricamente la relación entre el ETS y el riesgo climático físico.
  • Proporcionar información teórica para la optimización del ETS y el diseño de políticas climáticas.

Principales métodos:

  • Se utilizó un diseño escalonado de diferencias en diferencias (DID).
  • Se emplearon datos globales que abarcan desde 2000 hasta 2023.
  • Se integraron la teoría institucional y la visión basada en recursos.

Principales resultados:

  • El ETS reduce significativamente los riesgos climáticos físicos, especialmente los riesgos agudos.
  • El ETS opera a través de vías de mitigación, adaptación y financiación climática, con efectos indirectos y umbrales.
  • La efectividad varía según las alineaciones ideológicas/económicas (países capitalistas, no pertenecientes a la UE, no pertenecientes a la OCDE); los altos precios del carbono pueden causar desequilibrios en el mercado.

Conclusiones:

  • El ETS es una herramienta sustantiva de gobernanza climática que mitiga los riesgos climáticos físicos.
  • Comprender las vías y los factores contextuales es crucial para la efectividad del ETS.
  • Se proporciona apoyo empírico para optimizar el ETS y diseñar futuras políticas climáticas.