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Predictibilidad de la variabilidad climática del Atlántico Norte Multidecadal
1S. M. Griffies, Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Route 1, Forrestal Campus, Princeton, NJ 08542, USA. E-mail: smg@gfdl.gov K. Bryan, Princeton University, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences Program, Sayre Hall, Forrestal Campus, Princeton, NJ 08544-0710, USA. E-mail: kbryan@splash. princeton.edu
Science (New York, N.Y.)
|January 10, 1997
Resumen
La previsibilidad del clima se extiende más allá de unas pocas semanas, particularmente en el Atlántico Norte. Un modelo global de océano-atmósfera sugiere que la predicción del clima a escala decadal es posible, vinculada a los patrones de temperatura de la superficie del mar.
Área de la Ciencia:
- Ciencias del clima Ciencias del clima Ciencias del clima
- Oceanografía La oceanografía es la oceanografía.
- Ciencias de la atmósfera ciencia atmosférica.
Sus antecedentes:
- Las previsiones meteorológicas se limitan a unas pocas semanas debido a la imprevisibilidad atmosférica.
- El acoplamiento océano-atmósfera permite la predicción a largo plazo de la variabilidad climática.
Objetivo del estudio:
- Para investigar la predictibilidad del clima a escala decadal en el Atlántico Norte.
- Para evaluar el papel de las interacciones océano-atmósfera en la predicción del clima.
Principales métodos:
- Utilizó un modelo global acoplado océano-atmósfera.
- Analizaron patrones de temperatura de la superficie del mar de varias décadas en el Atlántico Norte.
Principales resultados:
- Identificó la predictibilidad potencial del clima durante una década o más en el Atlántico Norte.
- Relacionó los patrones de temperatura de la superficie del mar del Atlántico Norte con las variaciones climáticas en Eurasia.
Conclusiones:
- La predicción decenal del clima en el Atlántico Norte es factible.
- Un sistema eficaz de monitoreo del Océano Atlántico es crucial para las predicciones climáticas precisas.
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