極地氷床の最近の質量バランスは,世界の海面変化のパターンから推測されています
J X Mitrovica1, M E Tamisiea, J L Davis
1Department of Physics, University of Toronto, Canada. jxm@physics.utoronto.ca
Nature
|March 10, 2001
まとめ
世界の海面の変化は,気候変動と結びついている. 新しいモデリングは,氷床の融解による海平面の明確なパターンを明らかにし,過去の観測を調和させ,グリーンランドを示唆しています.
科学分野:
- 気候科学 気候科学
- 氷河学 氷河学とは
- 海洋学 海洋学 海洋学
背景:
- 世界の海水位は,海洋熱膨張と氷河の融解の影響を受け,気候変動の重要な指標である.
- 氷河の同静的調整のための潮測定器データの修正は,海面上昇を推定する上で極めて重要です.
- 以前の分析では,空間的な海面上昇パターンが平均すると仮定し,氷床の体積の変化を無視した.
研究 の 目的:
- 重力的に一貫した海面の変化パターンの数値予測を提示する.
- 極地氷床 (南極とグリーンランド) と山岳氷河の変動によって引き起こされる海平面の再分配を調査する.
- 予測されたパターンを用いて,公開された海面記録の空間的変動を調和させる.
主な方法:
- 海面変化パターンの数値モデリング.
- 氷床の質量変動による重力効果の組み込み.
- 南極の氷床,グリーンランドの氷床,山の氷河の融解に対する海平面の反応の分析.
主要な成果:
- グリーンランドと南極の氷床の変動を予測する,幾何学的に明確な海面の変化パターンを予測した.
- これらの予測されたパターンは,以前の海平面記録で観測された空間的変動を調和させる.
- グリーンランドの氷河が過去1世紀に溶けたと推定され,海洋熱膨張が均一であると仮定すると,海面上昇が−0.6mm/年−1に相当する.
結論:
- 極地氷床の量の変動は,非ユースタティックな海平面再分配を引き起こします.
- 重力的に一貫した海平面予測は,空間的な海平面記録の解釈のための枠組みを提供します.
- グリーンランドの氷床が過去100年にわたって海面上昇に寄与した割合は,このモデリング方法によって定量化されています.
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