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Published on: September 5, 2018
北大西洋の最近の気候変動の熱帯的起源
M P Hoerling1, J W Hurrell, T Xu
1Climate Diagnostics Center, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration-Environmental Research Laboratories, Boulder, CO 80303, USA. mph@cdc.noaa.gov
まとめ
1950年以降の世界的な気候変動は,熱帯海の温暖化に関連しています. この温暖化は降雨量と大気温上昇に影響を与え,北大西洋振動 (NAO) を極端な段階へとシフトさせる.
科学分野:
- 気候科学 気候科学
- 海洋学 海洋学 海洋学
- 大気科学 大気科学
背景:
- 北大西洋の気候変動は1950年以来観測されています.
- 熱帯海面の気温は,特にインド洋と太平洋で,漸進的な温暖化を示しています.
研究 の 目的:
- 熱帯海の温暖化と北大西洋の気候変動との関連を調査する.
- 熱帯海洋の変化が北大西洋振動 (NAO) にどのように影響するかを理解する.
主な方法:
- 1950年以来の気候データの分析.
- 熱帯海における海面温度傾向の調査.
- NAOを含む大気反応パターンの評価.
主要な成果:
- 熱帯海洋温暖化は,熱帯雨量の変化と大気温暖化と相関しています.
- これらの熱帯変動は,北大西洋振動 (NAO) の空間構造と関連しています.
- NAOの一つの極端な段階への傾向は,熱帯海洋温暖化によって引き起こされ,過去50年にわたって観察されています.
結論:
- 熱帯海の温暖化は,北大西洋の気候動向の重要な原動力である.
- 北大西洋振動 (NAO) は,大規模な熱帯気候変化の影響を受けています.
- 北大西洋における過去半世紀の気候変動は,熱帯のゆっくりとした海洋温暖化への反応である.
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