生物多様性の保全:絶滅リスクの予測における不確実性
Wilfried Thuiller1, Miguel B Araújo, Richard G Pearson
1Centre d'Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Evolutive, CNRS, 34293 Montpellier cedex 5, France. thuiller@nbi.ac.za
Nature
|July 9, 2004
まとめ
気候変動により,2050年までに15-37%の種が絶滅する恐れがある. 気候モデルの追加的な不確実性と種の分散は,これらの絶滅の予測を大幅に変更する可能性があります.
科学分野:
- エコロジー エコロジー エコロジー
- 気候変動 生物学
- 保護生物学の保護生物学
背景:
- トーマス et al. トーマスなど. モデル化された種の分布は,様々な気候変動シナリオの下で変化します.
- 彼らは2050年までに絶滅のリスクを推定するために,新しい種-面積の関係を適用しました.
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