検診が英国で予防した子宮頸がんの流行を,スクリーニングが防ぎました
Julian Peto1, Clare Gilham, Olivia Fletcher
1London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK. julian.peto@lshtm.ac.uk
Lancet (London, England)
|July 21, 2004
まとめ
イギリスの国立子宮頸部スクリーニングプログラムは,子宮頸部がんによる死亡率の危険な上昇を逆転させ,推定10万人の命を救った. 早期スクリーニングは,女性の生涯死亡率を大幅に低下させます.
科学分野:
- 腫瘍学 腫瘍学
- 公衆衛生は公衆衛生である.
- エピデミオロジー エピデミオロジー
背景:
- 最近の分析では,英国の国家子宮頸部スクリーニングプログラムの費用対効果が疑問視されている.
- 死亡率の減少と対比して,プログラムの財政的,心理的社会的な影響に関する懸念が存在します.
研究 の 目的:
- 国家スクリーニングプログラムなしで子宮頸がん死亡率の傾向を推定する.
- 死亡率に対する英国の国家子宮頸部スクリーニングプログラムの影響を評価する.
主な方法:
- 1988年以前のイングランドとウェールズにおける子宮頸がん死亡率の動向の分析.
- 国家スクリーニングイニシアチブがない場合の将来の死亡率の傾向をモデリングする.
主要な成果:
- 35歳未満の女性における子宮頸がんの死亡率は1967年から1987年にかけて3倍に増加し,機会的なスクリーニングにもかかわらず高頻度であった.
- 1988年に開始された全国的なスクリーニングプログラムは,死亡率の上昇傾向を成功裏に逆転させました.
- 1951年から1970年の間に生まれた女性では,推定10万件の早死が回避される可能性がある.
結論:
- 子宮頸部スクリーニングは,年間約6,000人の死亡を回避し,潜在的な流行を防ぐことができました.
- スクリーニングは,特定の出生コホートにおける80人に1人の女性を救うと推定されており,命を救う1人当たり約3万6000ポンドの費用がかかります.
- 早期に子宮頸部スクリーニングを開始することは,生涯の死亡率を大幅に低下させる.
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