災害支援の重点転換
Joanne Linnerooth-Bayer1, Reinhard Mechler, Georg Pflug
1International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria.
まとめ
新しい災害リスクモデリングにより,脆弱な人々への予防的な援助が可能になります. ドナーの資金による保険手段は,災害リスクを移転し,援助を活用し,災害後の依存を軽減します.
科学分野:
- 気候科学 気候科学
- 金融経済学 金融経済学
- 災害管理についてです.
背景:
- 発展途上国は,自然災害による深刻な経済的影響に直面しています.
- 伝統的な災害支援は,しばしば不十分であり,反応的だ.
- 災害リスクモデリングは著しく進歩しました.
研究 の 目的:
- 強化された災害リスクモデリングが,先制的な金融援助をどのように情報化するかを探求する.
- 災害リスクの移転における新しい保険手段の有用性を評価する.
- ドナーが支援するリスク移転プログラムが,ドナーと受給者の両方に与える利点を評価する.
主な方法:
- 自然災害リスクの推定と価格設定のための高度なモデリング技術を活用します.
- 災害リスクの移転のための新しい保険手段の開発と分析.
- リスク移転手段と災害防止措置の連携を検証する.
主要な成果:
- 新しいモデリングテクニックは,災害の積極的な経済的影響評価の基礎を提供します.
- 保険手段は,災害リスクをグローバル金融市場に効果的に転送することができます.
- ドナーが支援するプログラムは,援助予算を活用し,受援国への依存を軽減する方法を提供します.
結論:
- 先進的なリスクモデリングと保険によって促進される予防的金融援助は,貧困層が災害の経済的影響に対処するのを助けることができます.
- ドナーが支援する災害リスク移転プログラムは,援助の効果と国の回復力を高め,相互に利益をもたらします.
- リスクの移転と予防措置を統合することで,災害支援のポジティブな効果を最大限に高めることができます.
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