2004年パークフィールド地震の予測と危険性評価への影響
1US Geological Survey, Menlo Park, California 94025, USA. bakun@usgs.gov
Nature
|October 14, 2005
まとめ
2004年のパークフィールド地震からの高品質の地震データは,信頼できる短期地震予測はまだ達成できないことを示しています. 将来の取り組みは,破壊的な地震の強さと位置を予測することに焦点を当てるべきである.
科学分野:
- 地球科学 地球科学 地球科学
- 地震学 地震学とは
- 地質物理学 地質物理学とは地質物理学です.
背景:
- 大規模な地震の近くにある高品質の地震データは稀です.
- 2004年のパークフィールド地震は,密集した計測器ネットワークの中で発生した.
研究 の 目的:
- 2004年パークフィールド地震およびそれ以前の出来事からのデータを分析するために.
- 地震の物理と予測能力を理解する.
主な方法:
- 2004年パークフィールド地震の地震データの分析.
- 以前のパークフィールド地震のデータとの比較.
主要な成果:
- 2004年のパークフィールド地震には,明らかな短期的な先駆者が欠けていた.
- 収集されたデータは,地震のプロセスに関する前例のない洞察を提供します.
結論:
- 短期的な地震の予測を確実に行うことは未だに不可能である.
- 社会的影響を軽減するために,地震の強度と場所の予測を改善することに焦点を移さなければなりません.
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