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南極の冬の熱帯圏の大幅な温暖化
J Turner1, T A Lachlan-Cope, S Colwell
1British Antarctic Survey, Natural Environment Research Council, Cambridge CB3 0ET, UK. j.turner@bas.ac.uk
まとめ
地球上の他のどの地域温暖化よりも大きい,重要な南極冬の熱帯圏温暖化が発見されました. 30年間で10年あたり0.5-0.7°Cの温暖化傾向は,新しい南極放射探査データに基づいています.
科学分野:
- 大気科学 大気科学
- 気候科学 気候科学
- 南極気象学 南極気象学
背景:
- 南極熱帯圏の熱的傾向は十分に理解されていません.
- 過去の研究では,南極の冬に関する包括的なデータがなかった.
研究 の 目的:
- 南極の冬のトロポスフィアの記録されていない温暖化を調査するために.
- 観測された温度変化の速度と重要性を定量化するために.
主な方法:
- 最近デジタル化され,品質管理された南極の無線探査観測の分析.
- 過去30年間の気温動向を評価するためのタイムシリーズ分析.
主要な成果:
- 地域中気圏では10年あたり0.5〜0.7°Cの統計的に有意な温暖化傾向がある.
- この温暖化は,地球規模でこれまでに確認された地域的な熱帯圏温暖化よりも大きい.
- ラジオ探知器のデータは,時間の均一性を確認し,データの信頼性を保証しました.
結論:
- 南極の冬の熱帯圏の記録されていない大幅な温暖化が確認されました.
- この温暖化の原因は,現在のデータでは未定のままである.
- この発見は,南極の気候ダイナミクスに関するさらなる研究の必要性を強調しています.
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