氷河は,21世紀のユースタティックな海面上昇を主導しています
Mark F Meier1, Mark B Dyurgerov, Ursula K Rick
1Institute of Arctic and Alpine Research, UCB 450, University of Colorado at Boulder, Boulder, CO 80309-0450, USA. mark.meier@colorado.edu
まとめ
氷河や氷冠の融解は,海面上昇の主な要因であり,世界の海洋の変化に大きく貢献しています. 氷河の急速な融解は,2100年までに海面の大幅な上昇につながる可能性がある.
科学分野:
- 氷河学 氷河学とは
- 気候科学 気候科学
- 海洋学 海洋学とは
背景:
- 世界の海面上昇は,主に海への氷の損失によって引き起こされ,氷河と氷帽は,この損失の約60%に貢献しています.
- 海面上昇への小さな氷河と氷冠の貢献は,過去10年間で加速しています.
研究 の 目的:
- 海洋を終わらせる氷河の急速な融解を調査する.
- この加速された融解が将来の海面上昇に与える潜在的な影響を評価する.
主な方法:
- 氷河と氷冠からの氷の損失の分析.
- 海洋終結氷河における動的不安定性の検討.
- 気候と質量バランスのモデリング.
主要な成果:
- 海洋終結氷河の加速した薄れと後退が観察されています.
- このダイナミックな不安定性は,氷の損失の増加の主な要因である.
- この加速された融解による海面上昇は2100年までに0.1~0.25メートルに達する見込みです.
結論:
- 氷河や氷冠の溶解が加速し,特に海を終わらせる氷河は,現在の海面上昇と将来の海面上昇の重要な要因です.
- 氷河の動的不安定性は,現在の気候と質量バランスモデルでは過小評価されています.
- 氷河の融解のダイナミクスに対する緊急の注意は,正確な海面上昇予測のために必要である.
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