まとめ
1977年,住宅・商業用ビルはエネルギー消費量が大きくなりました. 将来のエネルギー使用は,燃料価格と保全政策に依存し,新しい技術はさらなる節約を提供します.
科学分野:
- エネルギー政策 エネルギー政策
- 建物のエネルギー消費量は,
- 経済モデリング
背景:
- 1977年,米国のエネルギー予算 (27クワッド) の3分の1以上を,建物が占めていた.
- 建物のエネルギー消費は,暖房,冷却,照明によって左右されます.
- 将来のエネルギートレンドは,燃料価格と政府のエネルギー節約イニシアティブの影響を受けます.
研究 の 目的:
- 建物の将来のエネルギー使用,コスト,雇用を分析する.
- 異なるエネルギー価格と政策シナリオの影響を評価する.
- テクノロジーの進歩が建物のエネルギー消費に及ぼす影響をモデル化すること.
主な方法:
- 建物のエネルギー使用に関する詳細な工学経済モデルを活用した.
- 経済影響評価のためのインプット・アウトプット・アナリストを雇った.
- ベースライン,政策主導の保全,技術強化の保全という3つのシナリオを考察した.
主要な成果:
- ベースラインシナリオは,エネルギー価格の上昇を予測しています.
- 保存シナリオは,新しい技術がある場合も,ない場合も,エネルギー使用量の潜在的削減を示しています.
- 雇用を含む経済への影響は,シナリオごとに分析された.
結論:
- 政府の政策と技術革新は,建物のエネルギー消費量を削減するために不可欠です.
- エネルギー節約対策は,大幅なコスト削減と経済的利益をもたらすことができます.
- 将来のエネルギー戦略は,経済的要因と技術的要因の両方を考慮する必要があります.
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