まとめ
米国における国内石油採掘量は,掘削した1フィートあたり年間2%の減少を示している. 予測によると,米国の石油とガスは,2004年までに,またはより早く,高掘削率で,純エネルギー源として機能しなくなるかもしれない.
科学分野:
- 地質科学は地質科学である.
- エネルギー経済 エネルギー経済学
- 石油工学は,石油工学である.
背景:
- 米国国内での石油発見は過去30年間で着実に減少しています.
- 掘削した1フィートあたりで発見された石油とガスの量は,一貫して下降傾向を示しています.
- 掘削の努力は,石油抽出の効率に直接影響を与えます.
研究 の 目的:
- 米国の国内石油発見率の長期的な傾向を分析するために.
- 純エネルギー源としての国内石油の将来の生存可能性を予測する.
- 掘削率がエネルギー生産量に与える影響を評価する.
主な方法:
- 30年以上にわたる石油発見データの統計分析.
- 掘削の努力と1フィートあたりで発見された石油との関係をモデル化.
- 現在の動向に基づいてエネルギーコストと利益の抽象化.
主要な成果:
- 掘削した1フィートあたりで発見された石油は,年間約2%減少しています.
- より高い掘削速度は,より低い純エネルギー収量と相関しています.
- 国産の石油は,低掘削率では2004年までに,高掘削率では2000年までに,あるいはそれ以前に,純エネルギー源として機能しなくなるかもしれない.
結論:
- 発見率の継続的な低下は,米国の国内石油を有効なエネルギー源として脅かしています.
- 掘削の強度の増加は,利用可能な石油備蓄の枯渇を加速する.
- これらの発見を踏まえると,エネルギー戦略の緊急再評価が必要である.
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