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発展途上国の都市変革
1Department of Economics, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY 11794, USA. mmontgomery@notes.cc.sunysb.edu
まとめ
アジアとアフリカの発展途上国は,近い将来,ラテンアメリカを反映した都市人口の過半数を達成するだろう. この人口動態の変化により,都市計画におけるデータと予測方法の改善が求められます.
科学分野:
- デモグラフィー デモグラフィー 人口統計
- 都市学は都市研究である.
- 人口のダイナミクス
背景:
- 世界の人口分布は,都市部にシフトしています.
- アジアとアフリカの発展途上地域では,大規模な都市化が予測されています.
研究 の 目的:
- 開発途上国における都市人口変化の予測を分析する.
- 政策指針のための都市人口総数を予測する.
主な方法:
- 人口統計データと推定値のレビューと合成.
- 都市人口動向の分析と予測.
主要な成果:
- アジアとアフリカは,20~30年以内に,ラテンアメリカと共に,都市人口が多数を占める地域になると予想されています.
- 都市の人口の総数は,これらの地域で大幅に増加すると予測されています.
結論:
- 人口調査は,データセットを空間的要因と生命率で精錬する必要があります.
- 予測方法の改善は,効果的な都市政策立案に不可欠である.
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