コメント on "月間平均の大西洋南極逆転循環の26.5°Nでの多年予測"
Gabriel A Vecchi1, Rym Msadek, Thomas L Delworth
1National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ 08540-6649, USA. Gabriel.A.Vecchi@noaa.gov
まとめ
大西洋南極反転循環 (AMOC) の熟練した多年予測の主張は支持されていません. AMOCの輸送予測は,単純な気象学的なサイクルを上回らないので,安定性に関する確信のある予測は無効になります.
科学分野:
- 海洋学 海洋学 海洋学
- 気候科学 気候科学
- 予測モデリング
背景:
- 大西洋南極反転循環 (AMOC) は,地球の気候システムの重要な構成要素です.
- AMOCの将来の状態の正確な予測は,気候変動の変動を理解するために不可欠です.
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