歴史の終わりは幻想であり,歴史の終わりは幻想である
Jordi Quoidbach1, Daniel T Gilbert, Timothy D Wilson
1National Fund for Scientific Research, Brussels, Belgium.
まとめ
人は,過去の個人的な変化を過大評価し,将来の変化を過小評価し,安定した自己に到達したと信じている. この"歴史の終わりの幻想"は,将来の好みに関する意思決定に影響を与えます.
科学分野:
- 心理学 心理学とは
- 行動経済学は,行動経済学である.
- 社会学 社会学 社会学とは
背景:
- 個人のアイデンティティと好みは,しばしば時間とともに安定していると考えられます.
- 個人的な変化の認識を理解することは,行動分析に不可欠です.
研究 の 目的:
- 個人が自分の過去と将来の個人的な変化をどのように捉えているかを調査する.
- "歴史の終わりの幻想"として知られる心理学的現象を調査する.
主な方法:
- 18歳から68歳までの19,000人を対象に調査を行った.
- 過去10年間に個性,価値観,好みの自己報告された変化を評価した.
- 次の十年で予想される変化の予測を集めました.
主要な成果:
- すべての年齢層 (若者,中年,高齢者) は過去の変化を報告しています.
- すべての年齢層は,将来の変化が最小限であると予測した.
- 個人は,現在を,個人的な発展の安定した終点として認識します.
結論:
- "歴史の終わりの幻想"は,個人が最終的で安定した自己に到達したと信じることを導く.
- この認識は,財政的決定や将来の計画に影響を及ぼし,実践的な意味を持つ.
- 現在の好みを満たす将来の機会に過剰な支払いが,この幻想の結果である.
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