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数値天気予報の静かな革命

Peter Bauer¹, Alan Thorpe¹, Gilbert Brunet²

¹European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2 9AX, UK.

|September 4, 2015

まとめ

数値天気予報 (NWP) は科学や技術の進歩によって予報に革命をもたらしましたその深い衝撃は複雑なシミュレーションに匹敵し現代の物理学の礎となっています

科学分野:

物理科学
大気科学
コンピュータ科学

背景:

数学的天気予報 (NWP) は,持続的な科学技術的な進歩により,著しく進歩しました.
これらの進歩は必ずしも物理学の大きな突破と結びついているわけではありませんが予測に大きな影響を与えています
NWPは人間の脳や初期の宇宙の進化をシミュレートするのに匹敵する複雑な計算上の課題を表しています

研究の目的:

数値的な天気予報の重要な影響を強調するためです
物理科学とコンピューティングモデリングの主要な成果としてNWPを文脈化します.
世界的な天気予報の日常的な重要性を強調します.

主な方法:

気象学と大気物理学の何十年も蓄積された科学的知識を活用する
複雑な大気モデリングのための高度な計算技術を実装する.
世界各地の主要オペレーションセンターで高性能コンピューティングリソースを使用しています.

主要な成果:

天気予報の精度と信頼性を大幅に改善しました.
気候パターンを理解し予測するための重要なツールとしてNWPを確立しました.
人間の脳や宇宙の初期をシミュレーションするのに匹敵する複雑な天気予報を達成しました

結論:

数値的な天気予報は予報科学における"静かな革命"を表しています
NWPの影響は物理学のどの分野でも最も大きい.
地球規模の天気予報は世界中で毎日行われている大規模な計算技術です

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