リスク・コスト・利益分析の現実
1Department of Engineering and Public Policy, Department of Social and Decision Sciences, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213, USA.
まとめ
正式な分析の限界を理解することは 効果的な意思決定の鍵です 倫理的判断と科学的な判断の両方を認識することで 協力を通じて政策の成果が改善されます
科学分野:
- 意思決定科学
- 政策分析
- 科学的方法論
背景:
- 政策決定において形式的な分析がますます利用されている.
- 倫理的,科学的判断から生じる分析に固有の主観性は,その有用性に影響します.
- これらの主観的な要素とそれらを管理する方法についての認識は成長しました.
研究 の 目的:
- 公式分析における主観性の理解と管理の進展を振り返る.
- 分析を設計し,実行し,解釈する際の課題を説明します.
- 分析の科学と実践から得た教訓を特定する.
主な方法:
- 公式分析の発展を振り返る
- 分析設計,実行,解釈のイラストレーション例
- 科学的・実用的な応用から得た教訓をまとめました.
主要な成果:
- 倫理的・科学的判断から生じる 固有の限界が理解されれば,正式な分析は価値があります.
- これらの判断に対処する方法は進歩しました.
- アナリストと意思決定者の間の協力プロセスは極めて重要です.
結論:
- 形式的な分析の有効な利用には,倫理的,科学的主観性を認識し,管理する必要があります.
- アナリストと意思決定者の間で,ニーズと能力の相互理解を高めます.
- 学んだ教訓は,分析における学際的,協力的なアプローチの重要性を強調しています.
関連する概念動画
Types of Biopharmaceutical Studies: Controlled and Non-Controlled Approaches
533
Biopharmaceutical studies constitute a vital field aiming to enhance drug delivery methods and refine therapeutic approaches, drawing upon diverse interdisciplinary knowledge. In research methodologies, the choice between controlled and non-controlled studies significantly influences the study's reliability and accuracy.
Non-controlled studies, commonly employed for initial exploration, lack a control group, rendering them susceptible to biases and external influences. In contrast,...
Non-controlled studies, commonly employed for initial exploration, lack a control group, rendering them susceptible to biases and external influences. In contrast,...
533
Relative Risk
2.5K
Relative risk (RR) is a statistical measure commonly used in epidemiology to compare the likelihood of a particular event occurring between two groups. This metric is important for evaluating the relationship between exposure to a specific risk factor and the probability of a particular outcome. It plays a crucial role in medical research, public health studies, and risk assessment. Relative risk quantifies how much more (or less) likely an event is to occur in an exposed group compared to an...
2.5K
Hazard Rate
509
The hazard rate, also known as the hazard function or failure rate, is a statistical measure used to describe the instantaneous rate at which an event occurs, given that the event has not yet happened. From a probabilistic perspective, it represents the likelihood that a subject will experience the event in a very small time interval, conditional on surviving up to the beginning of that interval. In terms of frequency, the hazard rate can be viewed as the ratio of the number of events to the...
509
Hazard Ratio
705
The hazard ratio (HR) is a widely used measure in clinical trials to compare the risk of events, such as death or disease recurrence, between two groups over time. It reflects the ratio of hazard rates—the instantaneous risk of the event occurring—between a treatment group and a control group. This measure provides valuable insights into the relative effectiveness of a treatment by assessing how the risk of an event differs between the two groups.
For example, in a clinical trial...
For example, in a clinical trial...
705
Odds Ratio
2.2K
The odds ratio (OR) is a statistical measure used extensively in epidemiology and research to quantify the strength of association between exposure and outcome across different groups. Unlike relative risk, which compares the probabilities of an event occurring, the odds ratio compares the odds of an event occurring in the exposed group to the odds of it occurring in the unexposed group. The odds, in this context, are calculated as the probability of the event happening divided by the...
2.2K
Decision Making: P-value Method
7.2K
The process of hypothesis testing based on the P-value method includes calculating the P- value using the sample data and interpreting it.
First, a specific claim about the population parameter is proposed. The claim is based on the research question and is stated in a simple form. Further, an opposing statement to the claim is also stated. These statements can act as null and alternative hypotheses: a null hypothesis would be a neutral statement while the alternative hypothesis can...
First, a specific claim about the population parameter is proposed. The claim is based on the research question and is stated in a simple form. Further, an opposing statement to the claim is also stated. These statements can act as null and alternative hypotheses: a null hypothesis would be a neutral statement while the alternative hypothesis can...
7.2K


