"心理学の再現性を推定する"に関するコメント
Daniel T Gilbert1, Gary King2, Stephen Pettigrew2
1Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, USA. gilbert@wjh.harvard.edu.
まとめ
オープンサイエンス・コラボレーション
科学分野:
- 心理科学
- 再現性に関する研究
背景:
- 2015年のOpen Science Collaboration (OSC) の論文では,心理学における再現性が低いことが報告されている.
- OSCの論文は,以前に発表された100の研究を複製しようとしました.
研究 の 目的:
- OSCの論文で述べられた統計的主張を再評価する.
- OSCのデータに基づいて心理学の実際の再現性を評価する.
主な方法:
- OSCの論文に示されたデータを統計的に再分析した.
- OSCの出版物内の特定の統計的エラーの特定.
主要な成果:
- OSCの論文には3つの重大な統計的誤りがありました.
- これらの誤差は,低再現性の結論を無効にします.
- 修正された分析は,心理学の高い再現性を示しています.
結論:
- 低再現性に関するOSCの結論は根拠のないものである.
- 心理科学では 高い再現性を支持しています
- 心理学の複製研究は 確固たる結果を示しています
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