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Updated: Mar 15, 2026

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Simulating Impacts of Ice Storms on Forest Ecosystems
Published on: June 30, 2020
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気候変動の社会的・経済的影響
Tamma A Carleton1, Solomon M Hsiang2
1Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA. Global Policy Lab, Goldman School of Public Policy, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA.
まとめ
気候は社会や経済に大きな影響を及ぼし,健康,紛争,移住に影響します. 現在の気候条件は,将来の気候変動の影響に匹敵する重大な負担を課しています.
科学分野:
- 環境科学
- 経済学
- 社会学
- 気候科学
背景:
- 気候が社会や経済に及ぼす影響について 歴史的および継続的な検討
- 気候と人間のシステムに重点を置く 多分野の研究のルネッサンスが生まれました
- 継続的な適応のギャップは,現在の気候条件の継続的な関連性を強調しています.
研究 の 目的:
- 気候と人間のつながりを 明らかにするためです
- 気候の影響に関する方法論的革新と成果を提示する.
- 現代の気候条件への対応と将来の影響を予測する.
主な方法:
- 定量的な経験的研究
- 気候が健康,経済,紛争,移住,人口統計に及ぼす影響の分析
- 利回り低下や紛争リスクの上昇などの特定の影響の計算
主要な成果:
- アメリカのトウモロコシの収穫は ~48%低下しています
- 1980年以降の温暖化により アフリカの紛争リスクは 約11%増加しました
- 将来の温暖化は,世界の経済成長率を年 ~ 0.28%減速させる可能性があります.
結論:
- 現在の気候条件は,将来予測される気候変動の影響に匹敵する経済的・社会的負担を課しています.
- 気候は世界の経済の歴史的発展において 決定的な要素です
- 発見は,現在の気候変動の課題への対応と,将来の影響の予測を導くべきです.
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