最近の海洋の炭素吸収の増加は,より弱い上部海洋の転覆によって引き起こされています
Tim DeVries1,2, Mark Holzer3,4, Francois Primeau5
1Department of Geography, University of California, Santa Barbara, California 93106, USA.
Nature
|February 10, 2017
まとめ
海洋の循環の変化が 排出量ではなく 海洋の二酸化炭素 (CO2) 吸収量の変化を 引き起こしています 2000年代には循環が弱まり,CO2の吸収が増加したが,将来的には人為的なCO2の吸収が制限される可能性がある.
科学分野:
- 海洋学
- 気候科学
- 生地化学
背景:
- 海洋は,人類による二酸化炭素 (CO2) の約40%を吸収します.
- 海洋のCO2吸収率は1990年代に減少傾向を示し,2000年代に増加した.
研究 の 目的:
- 海洋における二酸化炭素吸収の10年間の変動の主な要因を調査する.
- 海洋循環が海洋の炭素吸収に与える影響を 定量化するためです
主な方法:
- 1980年代から2000年代までの海洋循環パターンを分析するためにグローバル・インバース・モデルを使用した.
- 循環の変化がCO2吸収に与える影響を評価するために,炭素循環モデルを使用した.
主要な成果:
- 1990年代,上海の転覆循環が強化され,天然のCO2の排出が増加し,地球規模の沈殿所が弱まった.
- この傾向は2000年代に逆転し,海洋循環が弱まり,CO2の吸収が増加しました.
- 海洋循環の変動は,海洋の二酸化炭素吸収量の変化に影響を与える主な要因として特定されています.
結論:
- 海洋循環の弱まりは CO2を深海に吸収することで 短期的にCO2の吸収を強化すると予測されています
- 長期にわたる海循環の弱化により,人類によるCO2の吸収能力が最終的に制限される可能性があります.
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