気候 変化 は 南極 の 氷 の ない 住居 の 拡大 を 促し て いる
Jasmine R Lee1,2, Ben Raymond3,4,5, Thomas J Bracegirdle6
1Centre for Biodiversity and Conservation Science, School of Biological Sciences, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, Queensland 4072, Australia.
Nature
|June 29, 2017
まとめ
気候の変化により 南極の氷のない地域が大きく広がり 住環境の接続性が向上する可能性があります 生物の均質化と 独特の極地生態系での 種の消失につながる可能性があります
科学分野:
- 環境科学
- 気候科学
- エコロジー
背景:
- 南極の陸上の生物多様性は,大陸の1%未満の氷のない地域に限定されています.
- 気候変動はこれらの重要な生息地を変えると予測されていますが,その範囲と影響は不明です.
研究 の 目的:
- 21世紀中に南極の氷のない地域に 気候変動の影響を定量化するためです
- 気候変動のシナリオをモデル化する
主な方法:
- 氷のない地域の変化をシミュレートするために,温度指数融解モデルを使用しました.
- 気候変動に関する政府間パネル (IPCC) の2つの気候強制シナリオに基づく予測を分析した.
主要な成果:
- 最も高い排出量のシナリオでは 氷のない面積は1万7千平方キロメートル増加し およそ25%増加する可能性があります
- 南極半島では 氷のない地域を3倍に増やし 住環境の接続性を高めると予測されています
結論:
- 南極の氷のない地域の増加は,生物多様性の生息地の利用可能性と接続性を変化させます.
- 生物の均質化,競争力が低い種の絶滅,侵入種の広がりは 潜在的な結果である.
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