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2014年欧州心臓病学会 (EVIDENCE-HCM) の急性心臓死予防に関する国際外部検証研究
Constantinos O'Mahony1,2,3, Fatima Jichi4, Steve R Ommen5
1St. Bartholomew's Centre for Inherited Cardiovascular Disease, St Bartholomew's Hospital, West Smithfield, London, United Kingdom (C.O., S.A.M., O.P.G., J.M., N.S., P.M.E.). drcostasomahony@gmail.com.
Circulation
|December 2, 2017
PubMed で要約を見る
まとめ
HCM Risk-SCDモデルは,心筋縮性心筋症患者の突然死 (SCD) のリスクを正確に特定し,予防的な implantable cardioverter defibrillatorの決定に役立ちます.
科学分野:
- 心臓病科
- 臨床リスクの階層化
- 電気生理学
背景:
- 急性心臓死 (SCD) のリスクのある高縮性心筋病 (HCM) 患者の特定は,予防的なインプラント可能な心筋動器 (ICD) のインプラントに不可欠です.
- 欧州心臓学会 (ESC) の2014年のガイドラインでは,5年間のSCDリスクを推定するためにHCMリスク-SCDモデルを導入しました.
研究 の 目的:
- 2014年のESC HCMリスク-SCDモデルの予測精度を外部で検証する.
- 多様で国際的な患者集団でのモデルのパフォーマンスを評価する.
主な方法:
- 観察的,遡及的,縦断的なコホート研究.
- 複数の地域における3703人の患者のデータを用いてHCMリスク- SCDモデルの検証.
- カリブレーション,差別 (C指数),D統計の分析
主要な成果:
- HCMリスク-SCDモデルは,1.02の校正傾斜と0.70のC指数で良好なパフォーマンスを示しました.
- 完全な症例分析では,予測される5年SCDリスク≥6%の患者は,8. 9%の発生率を観察した.
- このモデルは,高リスク患者 (予測リスク≥6%) の13件のICD移植ごとに,SCDから1人の命を救うことができると示唆しています.
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