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Using Generative Art to Convey Past and Future Climate Transitions
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南極 の 未来 を 選択 する
S R Rintoul1,2,3, S L Chown4, R M DeConto5
1CSIRO Oceans & Atmosphere, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia. Steve.Rintoul@csiro.au.
Nature
|June 15, 2018
まとめ
南極大陸と南洋の 将来の変化は 緊急の気候対策に依存しています 決定的な政策は環境変化を遅らせることができる.
科学分野:
- 気候科学
- 極地研究
- 海洋学
背景:
- 南極大陸と南洋は 地球の気候システムの 重要な構成要素です
- 現在の環境政策は将来の気候変動の影響を軽減するのに不十分かもしれません.
研究 の 目的:
- 2070年までに南極と南洋の 2つのシナリオを調査する
- 気候政策の様々な経路の結果を強調する
主な方法:
- 将来の気候の軌道を基に2つの対照的な物語の開発
- 2070年から遡って分析する
主要な成果:
- シナリオ1 (制御されていない排出量): 大規模な温暖化,南極と南洋の広範な環境影響,地球規模の影響.
- シナリオ2 (野心的な行動) 人為的な圧力による南極の環境変化のペースの低下
結論:
- 次の10年は南極の 将来の環境の軌道を決定する上で 極めて重要です
- 深刻な地球規模の影響を軽減するには,緊急かつ野心的な気候政策が必要である.
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