熱クロノロジーから派生したケノゾイク期の侵食史における空間的相関バイアス
Taylor F Schildgen1,2, Pieter A van der Beek3, Hugh D Sinclair4
1GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Telegrafenberg, Potsdam, Germany. tschild@gfz-potsdam.de.
Nature
|July 6, 2018
まとめ
気候変動による地球浸食率は 増加していないかもしれません 熱クロノロジーデータの分析は,地球的な気候の影響ではなく,空間的なバイアスを示唆し,多くの報告された侵食加速を説明します.
科学分野:
- 地球科学
- 地形学
- 気候科学
背景:
- 地球表面の侵食率と地球規模の気候変動の関連性は 地質科学における長年の疑問である.
- 過去の研究では,沈殿率に基づいて,気候の冷却によるケノゾイク期の侵食の増加を提案した.
- 対照的な証拠は,データバイアスと保存の問題に起因する明らかな増加で,安定した侵食率を示唆しています.
研究 の 目的:
- 熱クロノロジーのデータを用いて,報告された山岳の地形におけるケノゾイク期の加速された侵食を調査する.
- 地球温暖化が 他の要因よりも 侵食率の上昇を 引き起こしたかどうかを調べる
- 全球規模の侵食率の評価のための熱クロノロジーデータの解像度を評価する.
主な方法:
- ケノゾイク期後半の侵食が加速したと報告した30の場所からの熱年代データ分析.
- 空間的相関と平均化方法を含め,熱クロノロジーデータの潜在的なバイアスの検討.
- 気候による侵食,地質学的影響,データアーティファクトを区別する.
主要な成果:
- 分析された30の場所のうち23の場所では,報告された侵食の増加は,時間的な変化ではなく,空間的な相関バイアスに起因しました.
- 4つの場所では,地質学的な境界条件の変化に関連した増加を示しました.
- 気候が原因で加速した場所が3つしかなく 氷河渓谷の局所的な切断によるものです
結論:
- 現在の熱年代測定データでは,ケノゾーイク期の気候変化が侵食率に及ぼす世界的な影響を確認する解像度が不足しています.
- 空間的相関バイアスは,地球規模の侵食傾向に関する熱クロノロジーデータを解釈する上で重要な問題である.
- 将来の研究は,地域特有の詳細をまとめて,地球規模の侵食要因をよりよく理解する必要があります.
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