コメント "世界の樹木回復の可能性"
Joseph W Veldman1,2, Julie C Aleman3,4, Swanni T Alvarado5,6
1Department of Ecosystem Science and Management, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX 77843, USA. veldman@tamu.edu.
まとめ
樹木の植え付けで 炭素を吸収する見積もりは 過大評価されています 温暖化効果を無視したので その205ギガトンという数字は高すぎました
科学分野:
- 気候変動科学
- エコロジー
- 林業
背景:
- 気候変動の緩和策として木の植え付けが提案されています.
- 世界の樹木の復元によって 炭素を吸収する可能性があると推定されています
研究 の 目的:
- 地球規模で木を植えるイニシアチブによる 炭素吸収の可能性を再評価する.
- 以前の大規模な植林評価の不正確さを特定する.
主な方法:
- 土壌の有機炭素収束の仮定の分析
- 高緯度および高高地での樹木の覆いによる温度フィードバックの評価
- 植林研究における土地利用変化の定義の評価
主要な成果:
- バスティン等による205ギガトンの炭素収縮可能性の推定. 約5倍の大きさです
- 土壌の有機炭素の増加は,元の分析で膨張された可能性が高い.
- 特定の地域の樹木による温暖化効果や 森林以外の土地を復元地として分類する問題も適切に対処されなかった.
結論:
- 植樹による炭素吸収の現在の見積もりは 実際の可能性を大幅に過大評価しています
- 植林プロジェクトによる気候変動緩和効果を 正確に評価するには 洗練された方法論が必要です
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