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実験的な捕食者-獲物システムにおける長期周期的な持続性

Bernd Blasius1,2, Lars Rudolf3, Guntram Weithoff4,5

  • 1Institute for Chemistry and Biology of the Marine Environment ICBM, University of Oldenburg, Oldenburg, Germany. blasius@icbm.de.

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|December 20, 2019
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まとめ

生態学的捕食者-獲物のサイクルは 前例のない長期間持続し,自己持続的な人口動態を示しています. 長期の生態学的安定性を示唆している.

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科学分野:

  • エコロジー
  • 人口動態
  • 理論的な生態学

背景:

  • 肉食動物と餌食のサイクルは 理論上 無限期の人口の持続を可能にする 基本的な生態学的な概念です
  • 生態学において,現実世界の周期的なダイナミクスの持続時間と自立性は未解決の問題である.
  • 以前の研究では,外部安定因子のない実験環境で,短期間の振動を示しています.

研究 の 目的:

  • 制御された実験環境で 捕食者-獲物のサイクルを 長期にわたって 維持できるかを調査する.
  • 長期にわたる捕食者-獲物の振動の動態を特徴付ける.
  • サイクルダイナミクスを調節するストキャスティシティの役割を探求する.

主な方法:

  • プランクトン捕食者捕食システムを使った 微小宇宙実験
  • 人口動態に関する時間系列データの観察と分析.
  • 観測されたダイナミクスを解釈するための数学的モデリング.
  • ストキャスティシティ効果をテストするためにパルス栄養素供給による実験操作.

主要な成果:

  • ~50サイクル (~300の捕食者世代) まで続く,前例のない長さの振動時間列を観測した.
  • 主要なダイナミクスは,捕食者と獲物の相差が一貫して規則的で一貫した振動を示した.
  • 不規則で一貫性のない振動の短いエピソードが起こったが,システムは一貫性のある動態に戻る傾向があった.
  • 潜在的に栄養供給によるストキャスティシティは,一貫性のある動態と非一貫性のある動態の間のシフトに関係していた.

結論:

  • 捕食者-獲物のシステムは 持続的なサイクルダイナミクスを 長期にわたって示すことができます
  • 観察された周期的レジリエンスがストキャスティックイベントに耐えており,一貫した振動に戻る傾向があります.
  • 発見は,周期的なダイナミクスの捕食者と獲物の長期持続の可能性を実証しています.