熱帯 サイクロン の 最近 の 移動
1Department of Physics, Imperial College London, London SW7 2BU, UK. shuai.wang@imperial.ac.uk.
まとめ
熱帯サイクロンは 世界的に海岸に近づき 陸の近くで頻度が増加しています 1982年から2018年にかけて観測されたこの傾向は,世界中の沿岸地域に影響を与えるサイクロン活動に大きな変化を示しています.
科学分野:
- 気候学
- 気象学
- 海洋学
背景:
- 世界的な熱帯サイクロン (TC) の極地への移動が記録されています.
- これらの変化が沿岸部に及ぼす影響は まだ十分に理解されていません
研究 の 目的:
- 1982年から2018年にかけての沿岸地域のグローバルTC活動の変化を調査する.
- TCの強度,周波数,海岸線に対する軌道の移転の傾向を分析する.
主な方法:
- 1982年から2018年までのグローバルTCトラックのデータ分析
- TCの最大強度距離のトレンド分析
- 年間TC頻度の評価は,沿岸の近くに関連しています.
- TC線路のシフト (緯度および縦方向) の検査
主要な成果:
- TCの最大強度は10年あたり約30kmで陸に接近しています.
- 全世界のTCの頻度は,陸地に近い10年に2回増加しました.
- TC線路の極方向と西方向の重要なシフトが観察されました.
- 主要な要因として,環境によるステアリングフローの変化が挙げられます.
結論:
- 熱帯サイクロンの活動は 世界的に海岸線に向かって移動しています
- 観測された移転は沿岸部住民とインフラにリスクを増大させる.
- 大気中のステアリングフローの変化は,これらの軌道変更に影響を与える重要な要因です.
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