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関連する概念動画

Global Climate Change01:50

Global Climate Change

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Throughout its ~4.5 billion year history, the Earth has experienced periods of warming and cooling. However, the current drastic increase in global temperatures is well outside of the Earth’s cyclic norms, and evidence for human-caused global climate change is compelling. Paleoclimatology, the study of ancient climate conditions, provides ample evidence for human-caused global climate change by comparing recent conditions with those in the past.
27.7K
What is Climate?01:16

What is Climate?

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Climate refers to the prevailing weather conditions in a specific area over an extended period. As the saying goes, “Climate is what you expect. Weather is what you get.” Climate is influenced by geographic factors, such as latitude, terrain, and proximity to bodies of water.
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Design Example: Analyzing Capacity Contours for Flood Risk Assessment01:17

Design Example: Analyzing Capacity Contours for Flood Risk Assessment

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Flood risk assessment involves careful planning and analysis to ensure the safety of communities near water retention structures. Capacity contours are a vital tool in this process, as they illustrate the potential spread of water at specific levels in a given area. In the context of building a bund across a small valley, these contours play a critical role in evaluating the safety of nearby residential areas.In this example, the bund is intended to store stormwater in the valley. The engineers...
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What is Weather?01:07

What is Weather?

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Overview
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Threats to Biodiversity01:50

Threats to Biodiversity

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There have been five major extinction events throughout geological history, resulting in the elimination of biodiversity, followed by a rebound of species that adapted to the new conditions. In the current geological epoch, the Holocene, there is a sixth extinction event in progress. This mass extinction has been attributed to human activities and is thus provisionally called the Anthropocene. In 2019 the human population reached 7.7 billion people and is projected to comprise 10 billion by...
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Positive and Negative Feedback Loops01:18

Positive and Negative Feedback Loops

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Animal organs and organ systems constantly adjust to internal and external changes through a process called homeostasis ("steady state"). Examples of these changes include regulation of the level of glucose or calcium in the blood or internal responses to external temperatures. Homeostasis requires  maintaining an internal dynamic equilibrium:
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Using Generative Art to Convey Past and Future Climate Transitions
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変化する気候で臨界点を越える

Paul D L Ritchie1, Joseph J Clarke2, Peter M Cox2

  • 1College of Engineering, Mathematics and Physical Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK. Paul.Ritchie@exeter.ac.uk.

Nature
|April 22, 2021
PubMed
まとめ

人類の活動が不可避的に 気候変動の不可逆的な転換点を 引き起こすとは限りません 温暖化の値が一時的に超えられたとしても,遅い発作の傾き要素は,超えが短い場合,状態を変更しないかもしれません.

科学分野:

  • 地球システム科学
  • 気候科学
  • 古代気候学

背景:

  • 地球の気候システムには 逆戻りできない変化につながる 臨界点があります
  • 人間の活動による温室効果ガスの濃度の上昇は,これらの転換点を引き起こす危険性があります.
  • 以前の研究では 氷床のような元素の 転覆の気温の限界が低いことが示され 避けられない影響が示唆されていました

研究 の 目的:

  • 気候変動の臨界点を超えることは 避けられない不可逆的な変化につながるとの仮定を再評価する
  • 臨時的な温暖化に反応する時間スケールの役割を調査する.
  • 将来の気候変動のシナリオで 転覆のリスクを評価する.

主な方法:

  • 臨界点とシステム状態の変化に関する最近開発された理論を活用した.
  • 定義された値を持つ,透明にシンプルなティッピング要素のモデルを使用した.
  • 工業化以前の水準より 1.5°Cでピークを記録し,その後安定するシミュレーションされた地球温暖化の軌跡

主要な成果:

  • 臨時的に臨界点の値を超えると,必ずしもシステムの状態が永久に変化するとは限りません.
  • 超越の期間が,ティッピング要素の時間スケールに相対的に決定的であることを示しました.

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Simulating Impacts of Ice Storms on Forest Ecosystems
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Watershed Planning within a Quantitative Scenario Analysis Framework

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Simulating Impacts of Ice Storms on Forest Ecosystems
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  • 遅い反転の要素は 短期的な温暖化に より強い抵抗力を持つ可能性があることが判明しました
  • 結論:

    • 値を超えると不可避な転倒現象が起こるという仮定は,特に遅発の要素の場合,欠陥がある可能性があります.
    • リスクの正確な評価には,傾き要素と温暖化過度の時間スケールを考慮することが不可欠です.
    • 将来の気候変動リスク評価は,一時的な値超過のダイナミクスを考慮する必要があります.