流行から流行病へ
1Department of Biology, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, USA.
まとめ
流行の緩和は 慢性的で低レベルな病気の広がりの始まりを示します この変化を理解することは 公衆衛生戦略と疾病管理に不可欠です
科学分野:
- 流行病学
- 公衆衛生
- 感染症の動態
背景:
- 流行病は急性で広範囲に広がる病気の発生を表します.
- 病気の持続性は,集団内の病原体の継続的な存在を指します.
- 流行状態から流行状態への移行は必ずしも明確ではありません.
研究 の 目的:
- 流行病の解消と流行病の発生との関連性を調べる
- 大規模なアウトブレイク後の低レベルの病気の持続性の早期の指標を特定する.
主な方法:
- 過去の疫病データを分析する
- 病気の伝染のダイナミクスをモデル化しています
- 病気の発生傾向の統計的評価
主要な成果:
- 流行の衰退期と,その後の持続的な低レベルの疾患活動との間には相関関係があることが観察されました.
- 長期にわたって持続する特定の疫学的パターンを特定した.
結論:
- 流行病の影響の停止は,流行病の早期警告信号である可能性があります.
- 公衆衛生の監視は,疫病の流行後の微妙な増加を監視すべきである.
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