広大な乾燥地帯の植林による気候変動の緩和の可能性は限られている
Shani Rohatyn1, Dan Yakir2, Eyal Rotenberg2
1Faculty of Civil and Environmental Engineering, The Technion-Israel Institute of Technology, Haifa 3200003, Israel.
まとめ
地球規模の乾燥地帯の植林は 気候の緩和の可能性を秘めているが,アルベドの減少による温暖化は顕著である. スマートフォレストレーション戦略は 炭素の吸収を高めることができますが 排出量の急速な削減は依然として重要です
科学分野:
- 気候科学
- エコロジー
- 環境科学
背景:
- 気候変動の緩和策として,世界の乾燥地帯の植林が提案されています.
- 森林のアルベドの減少による温暖化の可能性による気候上の利益については不確実性があります.
研究 の 目的:
- 世界の乾燥地帯の植林による 炭素吸収の可能性と 気候への影響の評価
- 冷却効果を最大限に高める 森林化の最適な地域を特定する.
主な方法:
- 世界の乾燥地の高解像度空間分析
- 2100年までの炭素収縮の可能性の定量化
- アルベド効果と純炭素バランスの計算
主要な成果:
- 約4億4800万ヘクタールの 乾燥地帯が森林化に適しています
- 総炭素吸収量は323億トン (Gt C) であり,アルベド温暖化を相殺するには22.6Gt Cが必要である.
- 純炭素オフセットは,予測された排出シナリオの約1%です. 純冷却エリアに焦点を当てると,土地の半分でオフセットが倍になります.
結論:
- 乾燥地帯の植林は,アルベド効果を考慮すると,気候上の純利益が限られている.
- 森林を目標に植えるのは 低温地域ではより効果的です
- 気候変動の緩和には,温室効果ガス排出の緊急かつ迅速な削減が不可欠です.
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