世界の木材の収穫による炭素コスト
Liqing Peng1, Timothy D Searchinger2,3, Jessica Zionts4
1World Resources Institute, Washington, DC, USA. liqing.peng@wri.org.
Nature
|July 5, 2023
まとめ
森林の炭素貯蔵量を大幅に削減し,新しいモデルでは年間3.5~4.2GtのCO2eを推定しています. これらのコストを削減することは 気候変動の緩和策として 評価されがちです
科学分野:
- 環境科学
- 林業
- 気候科学
背景:
- 木材の収穫は植生と土壌の炭素貯蔵を減らす主要な人間の活動です.
- 木材の利用による現在の炭素の計算は 関連のない森林の成長による損失を相殺することで 排出量を過小評価しています
- 不正確な計算方法によって 木材の採伐が 気候に与える本当の影響が 隠されているのです
研究 の 目的:
- 世界の木材の収穫による現在と将来の炭素コストを推定するための新しいモデルを開発する.
- 時間の割引を用いて,異なる将来のシナリオの下で炭素コストを分析する.
- 木材の収穫による影響の削減による気候変動緩和の可能性を強調する.
主な方法:
- 炭素コストの推定のための時間割引を組み込む新しいモデルの開発.
- 2010年から2050年までの世界の森林伐採データ分析
- 年間炭素コストのシナリオベースの予測
主要な成果:
- 2010年から2050年までの森林伐採による年間炭素コストは,年間3.5~4.2Gtの範囲にある.
- これらのコストは,農業用地の変更による年間排出量と同等です.
- この研究は,木材の伐採が 気候に及ぼす影響が 大きくても過小評価されていることを明らかにしています
結論:
- 森林の伐採は 継続的な炭素コストを伴うが しばしば誤って計算される
- 森林伐採の影響を減らすことは 気候変動の緩和に向けた 重要で過小評価されている機会です
- 森林伐採の影響を理解するには 時間の割引を含む正確な炭素会計が不可欠です
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