カーボンの社会的コストを増加させる
Brian C Prest1, Lisa Rennels2, Frank Errickson3
1Resources for the Future, Washington, DC, USA.
まとめ
気候変動政策の利益とコストの評価方法が 変わります この更新は将来の気候変動緩和戦略と投資に大きな影響を与えると予想されます.
科学分野:
- 環境経済学
- 公共政策分析
- 気候変動科学
背景:
- 伝統的な利益コスト分析 (BCA) フレームワークは,気候変動の長期的な経済的,社会的影響を完全に捉えることはできません.
- 既存の方法論は外部性と世代間の公平性を定量化する上で課題に直面しています.
研究 の 目的:
- 米国気候政策の利益コスト分析を行うための新しい政府のガイドラインを導入し,評価する.
- 政策評価と意思決定におけるこれらの改訂されたガイドラインの潜在的変革効果を評価する.
主な方法:
- 連邦政府のガイドライン文書と規制枠組みの最新版のレビュー
- ガイドラインに基づくBCA方法論と伝統的なBCA方法論の比較分析
- 新しい指針が政策成果に及ぼす影響を予測するためのシナリオモデリング
主要な成果:
- 新しいガイドラインは,気候変動の影響を評価するためのより包括的なアプローチを提供します.
- 改訂されたBCAは,提案された気候政策の異なるコスト・ベネフィット計算につながる可能性があります.
- 気候変動の緩和と適応への投資の拡大の可能性
結論:
- 更新されたガイドラインは,米国の気候政策の分析に重大な変化をもたらします.
- これらの変化は 気候対策の経済的正当化と採択に 影響を与えるでしょう
- 効果的な気候変動ガバナンスには,新しい枠組みの採択が不可欠です.
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