大規模な排出削減を達成した気候政策: 20年ぶりの世界的な証拠
Annika Stechemesser1,2,3, Nicolas Koch1,2,4, Ebba Mark5,6,7
1Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Potsdam, Germany.
まとめ
この研究では,温室効果ガスの排出量を削減するための効果的な組み合わせを見つけるために,世界中で1500の気候政策を評価しました. 気候目標を達成するための政策のミックスにおける価格ベースのツールの役割を強調し,成功している63の介入を特定しました.
科学分野:
- 環境科学
- 気候政策の分析
- 経済学
背景:
- パリ協定は 排出量を大幅に削減することを要求しています
- 規模での効果的な気候政策に関する知識のギャップが存在します.
- 過去の政策を体系的に評価する必要がある.
研究 の 目的:
- 大規模な排出削減のための成功した気候政策の組み合わせを特定する.
- 世界的に実施された1500の気候政策を評価する.
- 将来の気候政策の設計に役立つ.
主な方法:
- 気候政策のグローバル・システマティック・エクスポスト評価 (1998年−2022年)
- 気候変動に関する包括的なデータベースの統合
- 機械学習に基づく差異のアプローチの拡張
主要な成果:
- 41カ国の 63の政策介入が成功しました
- 60億から80億トンの二酸化炭素の排出量削減
- 効果的な政策の組み合わせを強調し,ほとんど研究していない.
結論:
- 価格に基づく手段は,適切に設計された政策の組み合わせにおいて極めて重要です.
- 効果的な政策の組み合わせにより 排出量を大幅に削減できます
- 排出のギャップを埋めるには 専用の政策の取り組みが必要です
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